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Coke Head Happiness ($KO Earnings Preview)

Coca-Cola (KO) is scheduled to report Q1 earnings tomorrow, before the opening bell, at 6:55 ET.

Current Consensus is for Q1 EPS of $0.44 (-8% Y/Y) on revenues of $10.2 bln (-5% Y/Y).

  • Current Consensus is for FY 16 EPS $1.95 on revs of $42.3 bln

  • Last quarter, KO beat EPS by $0.01/share w/ revs in-line. 

FY 16 Guidance from Last Q

  • Organic revs expected to grow 4-5%
  • Expects currency neutral income before tax, structurally-adjusted to grow 6-8% in 2016
  • Expects net impact of acquisitions and divestitures to be a four-five point headwind to net revs
  • Expect ~$2-2.5 bln in net share repurchases in 2016
  • Expect comparable currency neutral EPS growth of 4-6%
  • Expect to spend $2.5-3 bln on capex
  • Due to structural changes, co anticipates slightly higher COGS and SG&A
  • Co expect the benefit to equity income from Monster, Coca-Cola Beverages Africa and Coca-Cola European Partners to partially offset that impact at operating income, resulting in a three to four point negative structural impact to income before tax.
  • Look for updates on the below two l/t initiatives
  • $3 bln in productivity savings
  • Additional Notables from Last Quarter
  • Unit case volume was +3% YoY for Q4, and +2% YoY for FY 15
  • Global price/mix grew 2% for quarter and FY 15

TECHS


The stock price has been in a steady uptrend since, rallying bounce on the  50 day 3 times during the last quarter. The stock is currently up ~9% on the quarter and is near its 50 day.