Here’s what’s in store for next week!

Fed

The coronavirus has sickened bullish tune that was being played since the start of 2020. The real fear for the markets however would be any unanticipated moves by the Fed. This report is not likely to unearth any surprises on the rates front. The markets though will be paying close attention to how the Fed is treating its REPO operations.

Any hints at a pullback on the REPO front could lead to some further profit taking as investors would exercise caution. This should be a non event but that is exactly why it is worth noting in the first place.

Inflation Data

Pricing has been a key reason for the Fed and other central banks taking an accomadative stance. We will be provided plenty of updates on this front with Mon- BoJ CPI... Tuer- S&P Housing Prices, Australia CPI... Wed- Powell conference, German Import Prices... Thu- Germany CPI... and Fri- PCE Prices and Employment Cost Index, and European CPI numbers. Collectively we should have a fair view of how pricing is trending.

Earnings

Next week is the busiest week of earnings season with plenty of heavy hitters set to report.

Some of the names

Monday, January 27:

DHI, S, FFIV, JNPR, SANM, WHR.

Tuesday, January 28:

LVMH, MMM, HOG, LEA, LMT, NUE, PFE, SAP, UTX, AMD, AAPL, EBAY, MTSI, MKSI, SBUX, XLNX.

Wednesday, January 29:

ANTM, T, BA, EAT, CP, GLW, GD, GE, HES, MA, MCD, NSC, ROK, CRUS, CREE, FB, LRCX, LSTR, LVS, MLNX, MSFT, PYPL, QRVO, NOW, TSLA.

Thursday, January 30:

MO, BIIB, BX, KO, DD, GWW, NOC, RTN, TSCO, UPS, VLO, VZ, AMZN, DECK, EA, LEVI, PFPT, X, V, WDC, WYNN.

Friday, January 31:

CAT, CL, XOM, HON, JCI, PSX, SOHU

GS Investor Day:

Wednesday, Goldman will hold its first ever investor day. We have plenty of earnings to focus on but the pivotal switch and the legendary bank will be of particular interest to the markets. 

Coronavirus

Continue to monitor the effects of this virus day to day. In particular a focus on its impact on the Chinese economy as it heads into the New Year week. Chinese markets will be closed most of the week. In terms of China, watch for commentary from earnings reports with exposure there such SBUX, AAPL, MCD, WYNN, and CAT.

U.S. Macro

Monday, January 27:

Fed's Williams speaks; December New Home Sales.

Tuesday, January 28:

December Durable Orders; November S&P Case Shiller Home Prices; January Consumer Confidence.

Wednesday, January 29:

MBA Mortgage Applications Index; December Advanced Trade in Goods; December Pending Home Sales; EIA Crude Inventories; FOMC Rate Decision; USMCA Signing Ceremony.

Thursday, January 30:

Initial Claims; Q4 GDP- Advanced; EIA Natural Gas Inventories.

Friday, January 31:

December Personal Income & Spending, PCE Prices; Q4 Employment Index; January Chicago PMI; January University of Michigan Sentiment- Final.

International Macro

Monday, January 27:

China closed through Thursday; Australia Closed; German Ifo Business Survey; Japan PPI; Australia Business Confidence; BoJ CPI.

Tuesday, January 28:

BoJ Summary of Opinions; Australia CPI; Japan Consumer Confidence.

Wednesday, January 29:

Germany GfK Consumer Survey; Germany Import Prices; Eurozone Money Supply, Private Loans; Australia Import Prices.

Thursday, January 30:

Germany CPI- Prelim; Germany Unemployment Change; Eurozone Unemployment Rate; BoE Interest Rate Decision; Japan Tokyo CPI, Unemployment Rate, Industrial Production, Retail Sales; U.K. GfK Consumer Survey; Australia PPI; China PMIs; Japan Housing Starts.

Friday, January 31:

France GDP- Prelim; Germany Retail Sales; France Consumer Spending, CPI- Prelim; Spain, Italy GDPs; Eurozone CPI- Prelim; Canada GDP, Inflation.

Corporate/Conferences

Wednesday, January 29:

KMI Analyst Day; GS Investor Day

OTHER Future Dates to Make Note Of

Feb 3- Iowa Caucuses (Close between Sanders, Biden, and Buttigeig)

Feb 4- State of the Union

Feb 7- Jobs Day

Feb 11- New Hampshire Primaries (Sanders expected to win)

Feb 19- Huawei waivers set to expire

Feb 22- G-20 Finance Ministers

Feb 22- Nevada Caucus (Wide open, Sanders betting market favorite)

Feb 29- South Carolina Primaries (Biden expected to win easily)

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