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Blue Bird (TWTR Earnings)

Twitter (TWTR ) will report its Q3 results after today's closing bell.

The Capital IQ consensus expects a 5.3% yr/yr decrease in EPS to $0.18 on a 37.0% yr/yr increase in revenue to $1.28 bln.

TECHS:

The company guided for Q3 revenue between $1.22 bln and $1.30 bln when it reported Q2 results on July 22.

Last week's earnings report from Snap (SNAP 55.58, +1.08, +2.0%) invited concerns that social media names could see a significant impact from changes in ad tracking on Apple's (AAPL 149.49, +0.85, +0.6%) devices. An indication that the impact on Twitter will be smaller than feared could invite a positive reaction.

Twitter trades at 55.2x forward earnings expectations, which represents a premium to Facebook (FB 311.92, -16.77, -5.1%).

RESULTS:

Twitter reports Q3 (Sep) results, revs in-line; guides Q4 revs in-line

  • Reports Q3 (Sep) loss of $0.54 per share, may not be comparable to the S&P Capital IQ Consensus of $0.18; revenues rose 37.1% year/year to $1.28 bln vs the $1.28 bln S&P Capital IQ Consensus.

    • Average monetizable daily active usage (mDAU) was 211 million for Q3, compared to 187 million in the same period of the previous year and 206 million in the previous quarter.

    • Average US mDAU was 37 million for Q3, compared to 36 million in the same period of the previous year and 37 million in the previous quarter.

    • Average international mDAU was 174 million for Q3, compared to 152 million in the same period of the previous year and 169 million in the previous quarter.

  • Co issues in-line guidance for Q4, sees Q4 revs of $1.5-$1.6 bln vs. $1.58 bln S&P Capital IQ Consensus.

    • "...we do not expect to recoup the total revenue loss associated with the sale of MoPub in 2022, which is estimated to be between $200 and $250 million. Despite some expected 2022 revenue loss, there are no changes to our goal of generating $7.5 billion or more of annual revenue in 2023 with an increased focus and additional resources working on increasing our market share within the ~$150 billion and growing addressable market for ads on our website and apps."

    • GAAP operating income is expected to be between $130 million and $180 million.

    • Capital expenditures are expected to be between $85 million and $135 million.

    • Stock-based compensation expense is expected to be approximately $175 million.


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