Tesla will release its Q4 2024 earnings after the market closes, around 4:05 p.m. ET, with an earnings call at 5:30 p.m. ET. Usually, results are shared on Tesla's Investor Relations page in a Shareholder Deck, but they might appear on a digital assets section this time.

Expectations:

Earnings Per Share (EPS): Analysts expect $0.77.

Revenue: Expected at $27.26 billion.

Election Impact:

The excitement around the election is linked to Elon Musk's relationship with President Trump, with hopes for a supportive regulatory environment for Tesla's self-driving and Cybercab projects. Musk has mentioned a 2026 target for Cybercab volume production, aiming for 2 million units per year, which investors will want confirmed tonight.

Challenges and Opportunities:

Despite the buzz around autonomous tech, Tesla's main EV business has seen slow growth. Q4 deliveries were 495,570 vehicles, just a 2% increase, leading to Tesla's first yearly drop in deliveries, down 1.1% to 1.79 million for 2024.

Competition, especially from China, and high interest rates are making it tough to keep demand up. Tesla has been using discounts; even the new Cybertruck got its first price cut, suggesting demand might be waning.

Positive Developments:

Cost reductions have helped, thanks to lower shipping costs and better Cybertruck production, pushing the automotive gross margin up by about 230 basis points to 17.0% in Q3, despite price cuts.

Operating expenses also dropped by 6% to $2.28 billion, reflecting a 10% workforce reduction announced in April.

Looking Ahead:

Everyone will be watching Tesla's delivery outlook for 2025. The company said it's on track to start producing a more affordable Model 2 in early 2025, which could excite investors if confirmed.

TECHS:

Tesla ended a four-quarter streak of missing earnings last quarter, beating expectations with a boost from better automotive gross margins. Since then, Tesla's stock jumped 82% and hit record highs, but it has since fallen by 11% from those peaks, likely due to fading post-election enthusiasm.


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